Saturday's Seville semifinal pits Facundo Diaz Acosta against Jaume Munar on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Jaume Munar is 6-4 across recent matches.

Facundo Diaz Acosta simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Acosta comes in off a compressed schedule; Munar comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Acosta.