A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Facundo Diaz Acosta goes up against Sebastian Ofner in the Seville quarterfinal. Facundo Diaz Acosta is 8-2 across recent matches. Sebastian Ofner has won 4 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Acosta is exactly that — a lean.