Tuesday's Shanghai round of 32 pits Fajing Sun against Jie Cui on hard. Fajing Sun has won 5 of the last 10. Jie Cui limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sun fractionally more likely to land the big points.