Thursday's Wuning 3 (China) round of 16 pits Fajing Sun against Kasidit Samrej on hard. Fajing Sun limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Kasidit Samrej comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sun fractionally more likely to land the big points.