Keegan Smith won 3-6 6-4 7-6
We got this one right. Keegan Smith was our 69% pick, and won 3-6 6-4 7-6.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Fajing Sun goes up against Keegan Smith in the Guangzhou round of 16. Keegan Smith is 6-4 across recent matches. Fajing Sun comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Keegan Smith is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Smith around 69%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Smith.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Fajing Sun | Keegan Smith |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.2% | 73.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 68.8% | 70.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.1% | 54.5% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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