Juan Pablo Varillas won 5-7 7-5 6-1
Nailed it. We had Juan Pablo Varillas at 66% before the match, and Juan Pablo Varillas won 5-7 7-5 6-1.
Federico Arnaboldi and Juan Pablo Varillas meet in the round of 32 at Genova on Tuesday. Juan Pablo Varillas is 7-3 across recent matches. Federico Arnaboldi limps in on a 7-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Varillas — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Clay rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Federico Arnaboldi | Juan Pablo Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 58.5% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.8% | 68.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.6% | 49.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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