A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Federico Arnaboldi goes up against Marvin Moeller in the Genova 2 (Italy) round of 16. Marvin Moeller comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Federico Arnaboldi has dropped 8 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

Marvin Moeller simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Moeller comes in off a compressed schedule. Arnaboldi needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.