French Open · R128 · Clay · best of 5 · May 24, 2026, 2:55 PM UTC

Federico Cina vs. Reilly Opelka — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 24, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Federico Cina won 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-7 6-4 · May 24, 2026, 6:32 PM UTC

Graded: incorrect. We had Reilly Opelka at 84%, but Federico Cina won 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-7 6-4. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

Sunday's French Open first round pits Federico Cina against Reilly Opelka on clay. Reilly Opelka limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Federico Cina has dropped 5 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

Federico Cina has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Reilly Opelka. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Cina — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 78.8% versus 67.1% on first-serve points in Opelka's favor. Anything other than a Opelka win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Federico Cina

1430

Reilly Opelka

1533

Overall rating

Federico Cina

1465

Reilly Opelka

1717

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Federico Cina	Reilly Opelka
1st serve in	65.4%	64%
1st serve points won	67.1%	78.8%
2nd serve points won	44.3%	53.2%

Form

Federico Cina

2–7

Reilly Opelka

5–5

Head to head

Federico Cina leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Federico Cina.

Full Cina vs Opelka history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka at French Open?: Federico Cina won 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-7 6-4.
Was the Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka prediction correct?: Graded: incorrect. We had Reilly Opelka at 84%, but Federico Cina won 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-7 6-4. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.
What is the head-to-head record between Federico Cina and Reilly Opelka?: Federico Cina leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Federico Cina.