A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Federico Coria goes up against Nicolas Mejia in the Cali round of 32. Nicolas Mejia is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (5 of the last 10). Federico Coria has won 5 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Mejia has been winning 69.1% of first-serve points to Coria's 63.2%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Mejia should have enough here, though Coria has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Federico Coria | Nicolas Mejia |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 66.9% | 59.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.2% | 69.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.5% | 49.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.