Felipe Meligeni Alves and Francisco Comesana meet in the round of 16 at Santa Cruz 2 on Wednesday. Francisco Comesana has won 4 of the last 10. Felipe Meligeni Alves is 4-6 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Comesana is exactly that — a lean.