Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Pablo Ficovich meet in the round of 32 at Cali on Tuesday. Felipe Meligeni Alves has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Juan Pablo Ficovich has won 1 of the last 10.

Felipe Meligeni Alves simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Alves.