Antofagasta · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 7, 2026, 7:55 PM UTC
Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nick Hardt — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 7, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Felipe Meligeni Alves won 6-3 6-3
Nailed it. We had Felipe Meligeni Alves at 63% before the match, and Felipe Meligeni Alves won 6-3 6-3.
Felipe Meligeni Alves and Nick Hardt meet in the round of 16 at Antofagasta on Wednesday. Felipe Meligeni Alves is 4-6 across recent matches. Nick Hardt has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall.
Alves's 69.7% behind the first serve (against 64% for Hardt) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Alves comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Alves — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Felipe Meligeni Alves
1640
Nick Hardt
1497
Overall rating
Felipe Meligeni Alves
1603
Nick Hardt
1548
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Nick Hardt
1st serve in
65.4%
63.1%
1st serve points won
69.7%
64%
2nd serve points won
50.6%
47.6%
Form
Felipe Meligeni Alves
4–6
Nick Hardt
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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