Cali · SF · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC
Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 24, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Valerio Aboian won 3-6 6-3 7-5
A miss: Felipe Meligeni Alves at 65% lost to Valerio Aboian (3-6 6-3 7-5).
Felipe Meligeni Alves and Valerio Aboian meet in the semifinal at Cali on Saturday. Felipe Meligeni Alves has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Valerio Aboian has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
The serve is where this match separates: Alves has been winning 69.8% of first-serve points to Aboian's 64.4%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Alves comes in off a compressed schedule; Aboian comes in off a compressed schedule. Alves should have enough here, though Aboian has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Felipe Meligeni Alves
1629
Valerio Aboian
1627
Overall rating
Felipe Meligeni Alves
1598
Valerio Aboian
1621
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Valerio Aboian
1st serve in
65.2%
57.9%
1st serve points won
69.8%
64.4%
2nd serve points won
51.2%
47.6%
Form
Felipe Meligeni Alves
6–4
Valerio Aboian
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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