Cincinnati · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 20, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 20, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Frances Tiafoe won 6-3 6-4
Missed it. We had Felix Auger Aliassime at 60%, but Frances Tiafoe won 6-3 6-4.
Thursday's Cincinnati round of 16 pits Felix Auger Aliassime against Frances Tiafoe on hard. Felix Auger Aliassime comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Frances Tiafoe comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.
Aliassime's 75.5% behind the first serve (against 72.4% for Tiafoe) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Aliassime.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Felix Auger Aliassime
1962
Frances Tiafoe
1969
Overall rating
Felix Auger Aliassime
2006
Frances Tiafoe
2019
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Felix Auger Aliassime
Frances Tiafoe
1st serve in
63%
59.5%
1st serve points won
75.5%
72.4%
2nd serve points won
50%
52%
Form
Felix Auger Aliassime
7–3
Frances Tiafoe
8–2
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Felix Auger Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe at Cincinnati?
Frances Tiafoe won 6-3 6-4.
Was the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Frances Tiafoe prediction correct?
Missed it. We had Felix Auger Aliassime at 60%, but Frances Tiafoe won 6-3 6-4.