Thursday's Cincinnati round of 16 pits Felix Auger Aliassime against Frances Tiafoe on hard. Felix Auger Aliassime comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Frances Tiafoe comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

Aliassime's 75.5% behind the first serve (against 72.4% for Tiafoe) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Aliassime.