Beijing · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 30, 2026, 3:10 AM UTC
Felix Auger Aliassime vs. Karen Khachanov — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 30, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Karen Khachanov won 6-3 6-3
Missed it. We had Felix Auger Aliassime at 59%, but Karen Khachanov won 6-3 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Felix Auger Aliassime goes up against Karen Khachanov in the Beijing round of 32. Felix Auger Aliassime comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Karen Khachanov is 5-5 across recent matches.
Aliassime's 75.5% behind the first serve (against 72% for Khachanov) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Aliassime is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Felix Auger Aliassime
1979
Karen Khachanov
1842
Overall rating
Felix Auger Aliassime
2020
Karen Khachanov
1895
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Felix Auger Aliassime
Karen Khachanov
1st serve in
62.9%
62.9%
1st serve points won
75.5%
72%
2nd serve points won
49.6%
51.4%
Form
Felix Auger Aliassime
7–3
Karen Khachanov
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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