Montreal · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC · Cancelled
Felix Auger Aliassime vs. Titouan Droguet — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 5, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Felix Auger Aliassime and Titouan Droguet meet in the round of 64 at Montreal on Wednesday. Felix Auger Aliassime comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Titouan Droguet has won 7 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Aliassime has been winning 75.5% of first-serve points to Droguet's 72.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Aliassime should have enough here, though Droguet has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-204(67.1% Aliassime)
Sources: . These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Felix Auger Aliassime
1998
Titouan Droguet
1736
Overall rating
Felix Auger Aliassime
2033
Titouan Droguet
1824
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Felix Auger Aliassime
Titouan Droguet
1st serve in
63%
58.6%
1st serve points won
75.5%
72.1%
2nd serve points won
50%
50.7%
Form
Felix Auger Aliassime
7–3
Titouan Droguet
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Felix Auger Aliassime vs Titouan Droguet?
Maiden gives Felix Auger Aliassime a 67% chance to beat Titouan Droguet in the Montreal round of 64 on August 5, 2026.
How confident is the Felix Auger Aliassime pick?
67% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 67%, picks in that range have won 68% of the time (108 so far). See the track record page for the full table.