Sebastian Ofner won 6-4 6-2
We got this one right. Sebastian Ofner was our 61% pick, and won 6-4 6-2.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Felix Gill goes up against Sebastian Ofner in the Seville round of 32. Sebastian Ofner has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Felix Gill limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Ofner has been winning 73.2% of first-serve points to Gill's 67.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Ofner — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Clay rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Felix Gill | Sebastian Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.4% | 56.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.9% | 73.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.9% | 49.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.