Tuesday's Florence (Italy) round of 32 pits Filip Cristian Jianu against Filippo Romano on clay. Filip Cristian Jianu is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (3 of the last 10). Filippo Romano limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

Filip Cristian Jianu is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Jianu around 56%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jianu is exactly that — a lean.