Sunday brings the Palermo final: Fiona Ferro against Francesca Jones. Francesca Jones has won 9 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Fiona Ferro brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.
This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Ferro comes in off a compressed schedule; Jones comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Jones gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Fiona Ferro | Francesca Jones |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.1% | 64.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.5% | 62.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45% | 43.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.