A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Fiona Ferro goes up against Lucia Bronzetti in the Palermo semifinal. Fiona Ferro brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 4-6 across the last ten. Lucia Bronzetti has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Fiona Ferro is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ferro around 51%. Ferro comes in off a compressed schedule; Bronzetti comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Ferro gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Fiona Ferro | Lucia Bronzetti |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.1% | 61.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.5% | 59.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45% | 46.3% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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