A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Fiona Ferro goes up against Lucia Bronzetti in the Palermo semifinal. Fiona Ferro brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 4-6 across the last ten. Lucia Bronzetti has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Ferro comes in off a compressed schedule; Bronzetti comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Ferro gets the nod on the finest of margins.