Wednesday's Lisbon (Portugal) round of 16 pits Fiona Ferro against Selena Janicijevic on clay. Fiona Ferro comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Selena Janicijevic has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Ferro comes in off a compressed schedule; Janicijevic comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Ferro win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.