Flavio Cobolli and Roman Safiullin meet in the round of 32 at Beijing on Thursday. Flavio Cobolli has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Roman Safiullin comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Flavio Cobolli simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cobolli is exactly that — a lean.