Flavio Cobolli won 2-6 6-3 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 57% on Tommy Paul; Flavio Cobolli won 2-6 6-3 6-4.
Thursday's Cincinnati quarterfinal pits Flavio Cobolli against Tommy Paul on hard. Tommy Paul brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Flavio Cobolli brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Paul comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Paul gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Flavio Cobolli | Tommy Paul |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 54.7% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 71% | 69.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.7% | 51.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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