Thursday's French Open round of 64 pits Frances Tiafoe against Hubert Hurkacz on clay. Hubert Hurkacz is 4-6 across recent matches. Frances Tiafoe has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
Frances Tiafoe has had the better of this rivalry, winning 4 of 7 against Hubert Hurkacz. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Tiafoe — worth more than the overall number this week.
Hold strength tells the story — 75.9% versus 72.1% on first-serve points in Hurkacz's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hurkacz.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Frances Tiafoe | Hubert Hurkacz |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.9% | 63.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.1% | 75.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.6% | 49.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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