Frances Tiafoe won 6-4 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Frances Tiafoe, who won 6-4 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Frances Tiafoe goes up against Kei Nishikori in the Tokyo round of 32. Frances Tiafoe is 8-2 across recent matches. Kei Nishikori is 4-6 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 72.1% versus 68.4% on first-serve points in Tiafoe's favor. The edge belongs to Tiafoe — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Frances Tiafoe | Kei Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.4% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.1% | 68.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.7% | 52% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.