Who is predicted to win Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean?

Maiden gives Leolia Jeanjean a 54% chance to beat Francesca Jones in the Contrexeville round of 16 on July 9, 2026.

How confident is the Leolia Jeanjean pick?

54% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 54%, picks in that range have won 60% of the time (166 so far). See the track record page for the full table.

Maiden.bet

Contrexeville · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Francesca Jones vs. Leolia Jeanjean — preview and prediction

By The Maiden Desk · July 9, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Maiden's pick: Jeanjean (54%) over Jones — an upset call against our ratings.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Francesca Jones goes up against Leolia Jeanjean in the Contrexeville round of 16. Leolia Jeanjean comes in at 2 wins from the last ten. Francesca Jones comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Jeanjean gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Win probability & fair price

Maiden -119 (54.4% Jeanjean)

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Francesca Jones

1590

Leolia Jeanjean

1555

Overall rating

Francesca Jones

1515

Leolia Jeanjean

1594

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Francesca Jones	Leolia Jeanjean
1st serve in	64.7%	61.2%
1st serve points won	61.7%	61.5%
2nd serve points won	42.7%	43.6%

Form

Francesca Jones

3–7

Leolia Jeanjean

2–8

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Jones vs Jeanjean history →

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean?: Maiden gives Leolia Jeanjean a 54% chance to beat Francesca Jones in the Contrexeville round of 16 on July 9, 2026.
How confident is the Leolia Jeanjean pick?: 54% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 54%, picks in that range have won 60% of the time (166 so far). See the track record page for the full table.
What is the head-to-head record between Francesca Jones and Leolia Jeanjean?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Jeanjean chance to win	54%
Fair price (the odds our % works out to)	-119
Most likely score	2-0 (34%)
Desk record on clay this season	57% over 287 matches
Our picks at 50-55% confidence	100-66 (60%)