US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 2, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC
Francesca Jones vs. Magda Linette — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 2, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Francesca Jones goes up against Magda Linette in the US Open first round. Magda Linette limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Francesca Jones has won 10 in a row and 10 of the last 10 overall.
Magda Linette simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Linette fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-144(59.0% Linette)
Market+139(41.8% Linette)
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Francesca Jones
1516
Magda Linette
1702
Overall rating
Francesca Jones
1683
Magda Linette
1781
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Francesca Jones
Magda Linette
1st serve in
64.9%
63.6%
1st serve points won
62.4%
63.3%
2nd serve points won
43.2%
46%
Form
Francesca Jones
10–0
Magda Linette
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Francesca Jones vs Magda Linette?
Maiden gives Magda Linette a 59% chance to beat Francesca Jones in the US Open first round on September 2, 2026.
How confident is the Magda Linette pick?
59% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 59%, picks in that range have won 63% of the time (120 so far). See the track record page for the full table.