Tuesday's Istanbul round of 32 pits Francesco Maestrelli against Juan Pablo Ficovich on hard. Francesco Maestrelli has won 1 of the last 10. Juan Pablo Ficovich limps in on a 8-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

Francesco Maestrelli simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Maestrelli is exactly that — a lean.