San Marino · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 30, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC

Francesco Maestrelli vs. Juan Pablo Varillas — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 30, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Juan Pablo Varillas won 7-6 4-6 6-3

A miss: Francesco Maestrelli at 55% lost to Juan Pablo Varillas (7-6 4-6 6-3). It stays up, like every other miss.

Thursday's San Marino round of 16 pits Francesco Maestrelli against Juan Pablo Varillas on clay. Francesco Maestrelli is 1-9 across recent matches. Juan Pablo Varillas comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Maestrelli has been winning 72% of first-serve points to Varillas's 68.3%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Maestrelli gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Francesco Maestrelli

1611

Juan Pablo Varillas

1638

Overall rating

Francesco Maestrelli

1594

Juan Pablo Varillas

1623

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Francesco Maestrelli	Juan Pablo Varillas
1st serve in	64.5%	58.3%
1st serve points won	72%	68.3%
2nd serve points won	49.2%	50.3%

Form

Francesco Maestrelli

1–9

Juan Pablo Varillas

6–4

Frequently asked questions

Who won Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas at San Marino?: Juan Pablo Varillas won 7-6 4-6 6-3.
Was the Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas prediction correct?: A miss: Francesco Maestrelli at 55% lost to Juan Pablo Varillas (7-6 4-6 6-3). It stays up, like every other miss.