Francesco Maestrelli and Mili Poljicak meet in the round of 32 at Olbia on Tuesday. Francesco Maestrelli limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Mili Poljicak has won 5 of the last 10.

Francesco Maestrelli is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Maestrelli around 55%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Maestrelli is exactly that — a lean.