Tuesday's Brest round of 32 pits Francesco Maestrelli against Moez Echargui on hard. Francesco Maestrelli is 5-5 across recent matches. Moez Echargui has won 5 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Maestrelli gets the nod on the finest of margins.