Juan Pablo Varillas won 7-5 6-1
Nailed it. We had Juan Pablo Varillas at 54% before the match, and Juan Pablo Varillas won 7-5 6-1.
Francesco Passaro and Juan Pablo Varillas meet in the round of 16 at Genova on Thursday. Juan Pablo Varillas is 7-3 across recent matches. Francesco Passaro has won 4 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Varillas fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Clay rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Francesco Passaro | Juan Pablo Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.6% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.5% | 68.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.9% | 49.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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