Friday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Francisco Cerundolo against Roman Safiullin on hard. Francisco Cerundolo is 7-3 across recent matches. Roman Safiullin has won 5 of the last 10.

Francisco Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cerundolo around 55%. Little separates them; Cerundolo gets the nod on the finest of margins.