Wednesday's Curitiba round of 32 pits Franco Roncadelli against Ivan Justo Guido on clay. Ivan Justo Guido is 5-5 across recent matches. Franco Roncadelli is 6-4 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Guido has been winning 63% of first-serve points to Roncadelli's 59.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Guido fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Franco Roncadelli | Ivan Justo Guido |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 75.3% | 64.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 59.1% | 63% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.7% | 47.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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