Tuesday's Santa Cruz 2 round of 32 pits Franco Roncadelli against Valerio Aboian on clay. Franco Roncadelli limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Valerio Aboian limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Franco Roncadelli is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Roncadelli around 56%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Roncadelli fractionally more likely to land the big points.