Tuesday's Santa Cruz 2 round of 32 pits Franco Roncadelli against Valerio Aboian on clay. Franco Roncadelli limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Valerio Aboian limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
Franco Roncadelli is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Roncadelli around 56%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Roncadelli fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Franco Roncadelli | Valerio Aboian |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 75.4% | 58.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 58.9% | 63.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.2% | 47.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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