Gabi Adrian Boitan and Harold Mayot meet in the round of 16 at Istanbul on Wednesday. Harold Mayot comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Gabi Adrian Boitan has won 5 of the last 10.

Harold Mayot is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Mayot around 66%. Boitan comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Mayot — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.