Monday's Brest round of 32 pits Gabriel Diallo against Nishesh Basavareddy on hard. Gabriel Diallo has won 3 of the last 10. Nishesh Basavareddy has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

Gabriel Diallo simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Diallo fractionally more likely to land the big points.