Porto · QF · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 25, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC
Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs. Maria Timofeeva — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 25, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Maria Timofeeva won 6-1 6-2
Nailed it. We had Maria Timofeeva at 54% before the match, and Maria Timofeeva won 6-1 6-2.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Gabriela Andrea Knutson goes up against Maria Timofeeva in the Porto quarterfinal. Maria Timofeeva has won 7 of the last 10. Gabriela Andrea Knutson comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Timofeeva fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
1729
Maria Timofeeva
1784
Overall rating
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
1734
Maria Timofeeva
1821
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Maria Timofeeva
1st serve in
60%
66.8%
1st serve points won
65.6%
59.9%
2nd serve points won
42.7%
47.3%
Form
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
7–3
Maria Timofeeva
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs Maria Timofeeva at Porto?
Maria Timofeeva won 6-1 6-2.
Was the Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs Maria Timofeeva prediction correct?
Nailed it. We had Maria Timofeeva at 54% before the match, and Maria Timofeeva won 6-1 6-2.