A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Gael Monfils goes up against Hugo Gaston in the French Open first round. Gael Monfils is 3-7 across recent matches. Hugo Gaston limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

Hugo Gaston leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Gaston — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Monfils has been winning 70.9% of first-serve points to Gaston's 65.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Monfils should have enough here, though Gaston has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.