Antofagasta · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 7, 2026, 3:35 PM UTC
Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 7, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-3 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, who won 6-3 6-3.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida meet in the round of 16 at Antofagasta on Wednesday. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Genaro Alberto Olivieri has won 5 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Almeida comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Almeida.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
1543
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1684
Overall rating
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
1567
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1635
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1st serve in
73.6%
63.3%
1st serve points won
61.8%
64.7%
2nd serve points won
49%
49.1%
Form
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
5–5
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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