Wednesday's Cassis round of 16 pits Gijs Brouwer against Titouan Droguet on hard. Titouan Droguet is 6-4 across recent matches. Gijs Brouwer has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Droguet — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.