A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Gilles Arnaud Bailly goes up against Hugo Dellien in the Porto 2 round of 16. Hugo Dellien has won 9 of the last 10. Gilles Arnaud Bailly comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

Hugo Dellien simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Bailly comes in off a compressed schedule; Dellien comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Dellien win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.