US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 5 · Aug 31, 2026, 5:25 PM UTC
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Jurij Rodionov — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 31, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard goes up against Jurij Rodionov in the US Open first round. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has dropped 5 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten. Jurij Rodionov comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 78.2% versus 70.1% on first-serve points in Perricard's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Perricard fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-106(51.5% Perricard)
Market+102(49.5% Perricard)
Sources: . These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1664
Jurij Rodionov
1742
Overall rating
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1720
Jurij Rodionov
1666
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Jurij Rodionov
1st serve in
66.7%
59.9%
1st serve points won
78.2%
70.1%
2nd serve points won
51.2%
50.1%
Form
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
2–8
Jurij Rodionov
3–7
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jurij Rodionov?
Maiden gives Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard a 51% chance to beat Jurij Rodionov in the US Open first round on August 31, 2026.
How confident is the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard pick?
51% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 51%, picks in that range have won 52% of the time (192 so far). See the track record page for the full table.