Sunday's French Open first round pits Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard against Novak Djokovic on clay. Novak Djokovic has won 8 of the last 10. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.
Novak Djokovic has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Djokovic — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Djokovic fractionally more likely to land the big points.