Como · R32 · Clay · best of 3 · Aug 31, 2026, 1:35 PM UTC
Gonzalo Bueno vs. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 31, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Gonzalo Bueno goes up against Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva in the Como round of 32. Gonzalo Bueno comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (4 of the last 10).
Gonzalo Bueno is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Bueno around 52%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bueno is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-108(52.0% Bueno)
Market-166(62.4% Bueno)
Sources: . These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Gonzalo Bueno
1634
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
1564
Overall rating
Gonzalo Bueno
1638
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
1561
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Gonzalo Bueno
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
1st serve in
64%
63%
1st serve points won
61.8%
65.3%
2nd serve points won
48.1%
49%
Form
Gonzalo Bueno
6–4
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Gonzalo Bueno vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva?
Maiden gives Gonzalo Bueno a 52% chance to beat Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva in the Como round of 32 on August 31, 2026.
How confident is the Gonzalo Bueno pick?
52% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 52%, picks in that range have won 54% of the time (301 so far). See the track record page for the full table.