Thursday's Cali round of 16 pits Gonzalo Bueno against Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna on clay. Gonzalo Bueno comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has won 5 of the last 10.

Gonzalo Bueno is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Bueno around 59%. Taverna comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bueno fractionally more likely to land the big points.