A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Gonzalo Villanueva goes up against Lautaro Midon in the Guayaquil round of 32. Lautaro Midon is 6-4 across recent matches. Gonzalo Villanueva limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Lautaro Midon simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Midon.