A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Greet Minnen goes up against Janice Tjen in the Hertogenbosch round of 32. Janice Tjen is 3-7 across recent matches. Greet Minnen has won 4 of the last 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Janice Tjen is clearly higher-rated on grass — our number puts Tjen around 60%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tjen is exactly that — a lean.