Wednesday's Bastad round of 16 pits Grigor Dimitrov against Nuno Borges on clay. Grigor Dimitrov is 6-4 across recent matches. Nuno Borges is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).
They have split their 2 previous meetings evenly at 1-1.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Dimitrov fractionally more likely to land the big points.