The Curitiba title is on the line on Sunday, when Gustavo Heide meets Ivan Justo Guido. Gustavo Heide is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Ivan Justo Guido has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
The serve is where this match separates: Heide has been winning 71.6% of first-serve points to Guido's 63.2%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Heide comes in off a compressed schedule; Guido comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Heide — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Gustavo Heide | Ivan Justo Guido |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 56.4% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.6% | 63.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.8% | 47.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.